Page 31 - NIS English December16-31
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ignore the long-term trend. But these ratings are
                                                              definitely a good news.
              The Prime Minister always talks
         about opportunity in the crisis. How do                  The IMF has said in its report that by 2040
         you look at India being an economic                  India’s contribution to the world's growth rate
         superpower?                                          will be one third. How do you look at it?
                                                                  I think policies and reforms will provide the
             This pandemic has proved that vision of          necessary growth impetus to the Indian economy
         India is farsighted. We don’t visualise from         and we will surely realise this prediction.
         one quarter to another quarter. There was
         certain impact on the economic activity                  Corona is not yet vanished. Reforms are
         due to lockdown as lives must be saved               continuing. Will the growth accelerate or is
                                                              there any possibility of it falling again?
         first. If we look at the death rate, India has
         5 deaths per lakh while the US has 60                   I am cautiously optimistic as data is showing a
         deaths per lakh. Death rates of Spain, Italy,        good economic recovery. But since this is winter
         UK is 10 to 12 times higher than India. This         season and in this weather such cases increase
         long-term vision will take India a long way.         particularly in North India, so this is my appeal
         India can be the example of ethical wealth           to people to remain more cautious so that cases
         creation. As per a report, India was the             don’t increase. This is not only in the interest of
                                                              individual but also in the interest of the country.
         world leader in economy for seventeen and
         a half centuries. India’s contribution to the            When will we be able to reach the positive
         world GDP was one third (33 per cent) of             territory of the GDP?
         the total global GDP.  On the other hand,               This is my presumption that in Q3 or Q4, we
         the USA, which is considered to be the               will be able to reach that mark.
         economic superpower has only 15-16 per                  It is agriculture sector that remains
         centcontribution to the world GDP!                   unaffected from the negative growth rate.
                                                              Creating opportunities in agriculture sector
                                                              has always been a concern. The Government
                                                              has made an announcement of creating an
        our companies, they make products for top 20 to       Agriculture Infrastructure Fund of Rs 1 Lakh
        30 per cent lot on the income pyramid. But certain    Crore. How is it going to help the end-users,
        sectors like FMCG has products for people even        our farmers?
        in the remote areas of the country like shampoo
        sachet.  We are trying that companies should give         Agriculture  sector  is  not  much  affected  as
        products and services to widen their consumer base    social distancing is not a matter of concern for the
        as one of the biggest strength of India is that we are   sector. The Government has taken all necessary
        a country of 137 Billion people.                      measures despite lockdown.  The agriculture
                                                              sector has provided a cushion. The recent reforms
            Reports of IMF, World Economic Forum              particularly Farmers’ Law are very important for
        and  Moody’s ratings  have  signalled  a  major       agriculture sector because small farmers will be
        improvement in the economy during pandemic.           able  to  sell  their  produce  to  anyone.  Moreover,
        How one can understand this with the help of          there are around 40 to 45 per cent people working
        these indicators?                                     in the sector which has  a  huge potential  of  job

            We have discussed that during the unlock phase,   creation. The required growth will not be possible
        the recovery is very well and that is what is being   without proper infrastructure. The investment will
        reflected in ratings of these agencies. I do think that   happen due to Rs 1 Lakh Crore infrastructure
        many a times lots of analysts’ researches end up      fund. Infrastructure fund is likely to work for the
        taking into the account the recent data and often     growth of agriculture sector.

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